Transport Industrial and Commercial Refrigeration (TICR) UK5 Notice

The Transport Industrial and Commercial Refrigeration (TICR) project has successfully investigated decarbonisation pathways for 6 sectors. This project was delivered by London South Bank University.

We seek to extend the work to investigate additional pathways (both climate scenarios and new sectors) to support the Cooling Outlook. This is additional work to the existing TICR project scope and will include the following.

Updated evidence around different climate and uptake scenarios to support the cooling projections paper for the TICR end use sectors to give a range of future scenarios. The sectors include:  Data centres  Retail and commercial food service  Industrial, food and drink, chemical and pharmaceutical  Transport refrigeration  The scenarios to be considered will cover 2 and 4C global warming scenarios as per the CCC's guidance.

New sector models for domestic and commercial/mobile AC (not originally in scope): Using baseline data and assumptions from CSN0W project and in consultation with policy teams develop sector models to give a range of future scenarios based upon different climate and uptake scenarios. These sectors include:-  Domestic refrigeration Domestic AC Commercial AC  Mobile air conditioning The scenarios to be considered will cover 2 and 4C global warming scenarios as per the CCC's guidance.

On a sector by sector basis propose, discuss and agree assumptions for individual cooling emission and energy reducing interventions and pathways with individual policy teams. Will need to translate policies and interventions into key numerical assumptions to be used to project emissions and energy consumption for cooling.

The bulk of the analysis needs to be delivered within the next two months (by mid July 2026), but the contract duration proposed is for 9 months to allow time for Quality Analysis and any further interactions and questions This project has started already, therefore this is a retrospective direct award. The case was initially approved as a contract extension to the TICR project (see approvals in this folder, and original business case for extension here).

However, as the TICR contract had ended we are now pursuing a direct award. The case for the direct award is independent of the fact that the work has started, and stands on its own rights as detailed below.